The USDA's January 12 WASDE left 2021 and 2022 U.S. milk production estimates unchanged after six months of cuts. Cheese, butter, nonfat dry milk and whey price forecasts were raised, and Class III and IV milk price averages were lifted for 2022.
Higher projected dairy product and milk prices signal firm demand for dairy and limited milk supply, supporting dairy feed demand and milk price levels.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.