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USDA's Grain Transportation Report for the week of February 24, 2022 reports EIA forecasts that crude and diesel prices will rise in February before easing later in 2022, citing Ukraine-related supply concerns. U.S. diesel averaged $4.055 per gallon for the week ending February 21, the highest in nine years.
Grain freight from the U.S. Gulf to Japan was $66.00 per metric ton as of February 17.
Diesel at a nine-year high raises the cost of moving feed ingredients by truck and rail, and higher ocean freight from the Gulf adds to delivered costs for importers of US corn and soybean meal.
doi.orgFeb 24, 2022After 113 past bullish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.8% to +4.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 26 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.1% to +9.5%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 22 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.7% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -5.7% to +4.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
