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The USDA Grain Transportation Report says the Panama Canal will limit transits to 32 vessels per day from July 30, below the long-term average of 35-36. Gatún Lake water levels are 7% below the five-year average and near record lows, and no date has been set for restoring normal draft levels.
Fewer daily transits and draft limits raise ocean freight costs and slow US Gulf grain exports to Asia, which weighs on US export basis and corn, soybean and wheat prices.
grainjournal.comJul 27, 2023grainjournal.comJul 27, 2023grainjournal.comJul 27, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
