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The February WASDE made few domestic changes, with US corn carryover unchanged at 1.54 billion bushels and soybean carryover reduced by 25 million bushels through higher crush. US wheat carryover was raised by 20 million bushels on lower exports.
USDA cut Brazil's soybean crop by 5 million tons, with reductions for Argentina and Paraguay as well.
Cumulative South American soybean cuts of about 18 million tons support soybean prices, though the domestic changes were minor. Traders are now watching South American weather and Chinese buying.
pembinavalleyonline.comFeb 9, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
