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VinaCapital's chief economist said the Russia-Ukraine conflict has had a negligible direct effect on Vietnam, since bilateral trade is under 1% of Vietnam's trade. He warned that high oil and commodity prices could add 1-2 points to inflation and that the VND could fall 1-2% against the dollar.
Vietnam imports about 145 million tonnes of fertilizer from Russia, so sanctions and high energy costs could raise farm input costs and feed prices there.
vietnamstar.netVietnam StarMar 14, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
