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The People's Bank of China cut reserve requirement ratios for foreign exchange deposits to slow yuan depreciation. The US dollar index hit 101.92, its highest since March 2020, on expectations of a 50 basis point Fed hike in May.
Economists expect the yuan to keep weakening given Chinese lockdowns and rising US Treasury yields.
A strong dollar and weak yuan raise the cost of US feed grains and meal for Chinese importers, which can dampen demand and pressure export prices. The central bank's intervention is unlikely to reverse the trend, so the bearish demand signal persists.
asiatimes.comJeff PaoApr 26, 2022After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
