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Analysts warn that war, the energy transition, severe weather and surging demand are tightening global gas supply to an unprecedented degree. Nations and companies are struggling to secure enough gas amid a global power crunch.
Multi-year supply tightness supports sustained high gas prices, raising input costs for nitrogen fertilizer and energy-intensive feed processing.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.