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Russia's invasion of Ukraine has triggered a global scramble for diesel, pulling record volumes from the U.S. Gulf Coast. Waterborne diesel exports reached about 1.3 million barrels per day so far in April, on track for the highest monthly level since Vortexa began tracking in 2016.
U.S. distillate stocks have fallen to their lowest since 2014.
Tight distillate supply and strong export pull keep diesel costs high, which raises freight, fertilizer and feed transport costs for animal-feed buyers. Diesel strength also supports crude and energy-linked input costs.
ttnews.comChunzi XuApr 19, 2022After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record Gulf Coast diesel exports and the lowest US distillate stocks since 2014 tightened domestic supply, setting up the squeeze.
