
USDA's monthly cattle on feed report showed March feedlot placements of 1.99 million head, down only 0.4% year over year against trade estimates of a 7.8% decline. Analysts say ongoing herd liquidation and beef cow slaughter will tighten future beef supplies.
Heavy placements add near-term fed supply and pressure cash cattle prices, while the continued breeding herd reduction supports higher prices later.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.