USDA ERS reports that US beef imports from Brazil hit a record in early 2022, with January imports near 100 million pounds, up more than 500% year over year. Fresh beef from Brazil became eligible for import in February 2020, and high US beef prices and Australian drought have pulled supply toward Brazil.
Heavier processing-grade beef imports add supply to the US lean-trim market, which can cap domestic cow and lean beef prices. Tariff rate quota limits could eventually restrict further inflows.
After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.