
The IEA May Oil Market Report forecasts world oil demand growth slowing to 1.9 mb/d in the second quarter and expects Russian supply to fall about 710 kb/d in April. Global refinery margins have surged on depleted product inventories.
Tight product inventories and high refinery margins keep diesel and energy costs elevated, raising feed logistics and processing expenses.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 109 past bullish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.