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The USDA Grain Transportation Report says ocean freight rates for bulk grain rose sharply in the second quarter of 2021, with U.S. Gulf to Japan at $65.94 per metric ton, up 26% quarter on quarter. Rates to Europe and from the Pacific Northwest also climbed, driven by reopening demand and stimulus-fueled trade.
Higher ocean freight raises landed costs for U.S. grain and soybean exports, which can narrow FOB export basis and weigh on U.S. feed grain prices relative to competing origins.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
