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The USDA Grain Transportation Report shows St. Louis barge spot rates falling from 723% to 354% of the benchmark tariff between April and late June, and Upper Ohio rates also dropping. Weekly grain barge movements in Q2 2022 were lower than 2021 but followed the 5-year pattern.
Ocean dry-bulk freight rates are still above the prior four-year average but have slid for three weeks on soft cargo demand.
Lower barge and ocean freight costs reduce the delivered cost of corn and soybeans to Gulf export and feed-mill locations, supporting basis and easing feed transport costs. Softer freight is mildly bearish for logistics-linked grain basis.
doi.orgJul 28, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
