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USDA's July WASDE lowered its 2022 and 2023 US milk production estimates on slower milk-per-cow growth. The 2022 Class III price forecast was trimmed to $22.80 per cwt while the Class IV forecast was raised to $24.70.
Lower projected milk output supports dairy product prices, but the cheese cut tempers Class III values for dairy feed demand.
After 136 past neutral report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.5%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.