
The USDA lowered its 2019 and 2020 US milk production forecasts because of slower expected growth in milk per cow. It also reduced 2020 cheese, butter and whey price forecasts and raised the all-milk price forecast to $19.25 per hundredweight, although the text states the all-milk price was reduced.
Reduced milk output forecasts support dairy prices, while weaker product price forecasts point the other way. Buyers should expect limited net change in dairy-driven feed demand.
After 136 past neutral report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.5%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.