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Maersk's logistics blog describes global fertiliser prices at record highs and how disruptions in chemical supply chains spread to other sectors. It attributes part of the rise to natural gas-driven ammonia cuts starting in 2021, and notes China's export quota.
Persistent logistics and feedstock constraints keep nitrogen fertiliser costs elevated, which raises input costs for feed grain producers.
After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.