
Oil rose more than $2 a barrel as hopes faded for an OPEC+ supply boost. OPEC+ sources said the group would consider keeping output unchanged for September, with a modest increase also possibly discussed.
Compliance with output cuts reportedly reached 320% in June due to underproduction.
Reduced expectations of additional OPEC+ supply support crude prices, raising energy input costs. Persistent underproduction keeps the market tight.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.