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OPEC agreed to cut oil production by about 1.2 million barrels per day from January, its first output curb since 2008, lowering its ceiling to 32.5 million bpd. Saudi Arabia will take the largest share of the cut, and crude prices jumped more than 10 percent to above $50 a barrel.
A coordinated supply cut of this size tightens crude balances and lifts energy prices. Higher crude supports diesel and energy costs for feed mills and can encourage biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils, although analysts expected the rally might not last.
reuters.comJessica Resnick-AultNov 30, 2016After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
OPEC's finalized first output cut since 2008 (to 32.5M bpd) is a direct supply-side driver that lifted Brent by roughly the size of the observed move.
OPEC finalized a 1.2m bpd output cut from January and crude jumped more than 10%, which is the direct supply-side catalyst.
