
Oil edged up on Monday as supply worries outweighed demand fears tied to a strong dollar and possible large rate increases. OPEC+ missed its August production target by 3.583 million bpd, according to an internal document.
OPEC+ underproduction keeps crude supply tight, which supports energy costs for feed producers and biofuel feedstock values. Demand concerns limit the upside.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.