
Asian spot LNG hit a fresh record, with October delivery into northeast Asia estimated at $70.50/mmBtu, up 23.7% week on week. Buyers restocked for winter ahead of a three-day Nord Stream 1 outage that is running at 20% of capacity, while Freeport LNG extended its outage.
Record Asian and European LNG prices and a constrained US export base point to high global gas costs that raise fertilizer and energy costs for feed producers.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.