Latin American currencies fell sharply on September 13 after US consumer prices rose unexpectedly in August, boosting the dollar 1.4%. The Brazilian, Colombian and Mexican currencies each dropped more than 1%, and Chile's peso fell 2.3% as copper prices tumbled.
Hot US inflation raises expectations of aggressive Fed hikes, strengthening the dollar and raising the dollar cost of Latin American feed and oilseed exports. Weaker commodity-linked currencies also reflect softer demand expectations.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.