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An analyst says recent large drops in wholesale pork cut values and hog prices are not supply-driven, since slaughter and pork output have run close to forecasts. He attributes the weakness mainly to exports, which were down 4.8% year on year in July and have been a drag on wholesale demand all year.
He also notes USDA's export data reporting has been delayed.
Weaker export demand for pork cuts into wholesale value and hog prices, and this drag is expected to persist, though to a smaller degree.
nationalhogfarmer.comSteve MeyerSep 13, 2022After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
