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Lean hog futures have traded sideways after a strong early-March rebound as traders weigh domestic supply and demand against reduced US pork exports. China imposed a 10% tariff on US farm goods including pork, and US pork export sales fell to a new marketing-year low.
China has historically taken a large share of US frozen swine carcass exports.
Lost access to Chinese demand for US pork and carcass products reduces export outlets, which weighs on domestic hog prices. Tighter domestic supply could partly offset this pressure.
barchart.comJim WyckoffMar 24, 2025After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
