
OPEC and allied producers including Russia kept output targets unchanged on Sunday despite uncertainty over new Western sanctions on Moscow. The decision came before the EU boycott and G7 price cap on Russian oil were due to start.
The status quo on output with uncertain sanctions leaves crude supply tightness possible, which could support energy prices and input costs for feed producers.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.