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ING reports that gold has risen almost 20% since early November, helped by a weaker dollar and bets on smaller Fed rate hikes. The bank has slightly raised its 2023 price outlook, citing the faster-than-expected policy pivot and returning Chinese demand after Beijing ended its zero-Covid strategy.
A weaker dollar and easing rate expectations support dollar-priced commodities, while China's reopening points to firmer demand for commodities more broadly.
think.ing.comEwa MantheyJan 25, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
