Loading…
A Bloomberg review says Russia, Belarus and China supply most of the world's fertilizers, and the UN flagged fertilizer disruption as a key 2023 food availability risk. A cargo of 20,000 tonnes of Russian fertilizer trapped in Rotterdam was released with UN mediation and shipped to Malawi.
Concentrated fertilizer supply from Russia, Belarus and China keeps nutrient prices vulnerable to geopolitical shocks, which raises the cost base for feed grain production and supports prices for corn and other feed inputs.
farmprogress.comBloombergFeb 20, 2023After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
