
The euro hit a 15-year high against the yen and a five-week high against the dollar after the European Central Bank raised its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.5%, its eighth straight hike. The ECB signaled further tightening and raised its inflation projections.
A stronger euro versus the dollar typically weighs on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices for European buyers, while a firmer dollar index pressures US export competitiveness. Feed buyers should watch for currency-driven shifts in import costs.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.