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SCB Chief Investment Office expects the baht to strengthen to 33-34 per dollar by end-2023 as the dollar may reverse after a final Fed hike expected in May. The baht traded near 35.15-35.38 per dollar amid capital outflows and is down 5.2% this year.
A firmer baht lowers the local-currency cost of imported feed ingredients for Thailand but Thai demand for US commodities is driven mostly by dollar strength, so a weaker dollar later in the year would modestly support dollar-priced grain and meal.
bangkokpost.comSirinnaree Ongsakul, Nareerat WiriyapongFeb 28, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
