
The peso strengthened below 17 per dollar on December 22 for the first time since August 30, trading near 16.93. The move followed US inflation data showing core PCE falling to 3.2%, which boosted expectations of Fed rate cuts.
A firmer peso lowers the peso cost of dollar-priced grain and meal imports for Mexican feed buyers, while the US data reinforces a weaker dollar outlook.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.