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The EIA forecasts US diesel demand will fall through 2024 despite economic growth, as services drive GDP more than goods. Manufacturing PMI fell to 46.9 in May, its seventh straight month below 50.
Weaker freight-linked diesel demand points to softer fuel prices and lower trucking activity, a modest bearish signal for energy costs in feed logistics.
After 79 past bearish macro events, DIESEL moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.