
Coceral cut its EU-27 soft wheat forecast to 127.3 million tonnes from 129.5 million and barley to 49.47 million tonnes. Corn was revised up to 61.1 million tonnes, and dry weather in northern EU was the cited cause.
Lower barley and wheat output in the EU reduces exportable supply and supports feed grain values, while the corn revision offsets some tightness.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 445 past neutral weather events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.