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Chinese exporters are reported to be using currency swaps to keep dollar holdings as the yuan weakens. The yuan has lost more than 5% against the dollar this year, including about 2% in August, and foreign capital is flowing out of the slowing economy.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese purchases of feed inputs like soybeans and meal more expensive in dollar terms, which can dampen Chinese import demand and weigh on US feed commodity prices.
reuters.comAug 31, 2023After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
