Most Latin American currencies rose on August 30 as the US dollar weakened after data showed slower US second-quarter growth and smaller private job gains in August. The Brazilian real fell 0.5% against the dollar despite Brazil's formal job creation meeting expectations, while Brazil's IGP-M price index fell 0.14% in August.
A weaker dollar and falling Brazilian inflation support a stronger real, which tends to make Brazilian soybean and corn exports priced in dollars less competitive for farmers selling in reais and can lift Brazilian feed prices; the real's underperformance tempers that effect.
After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.