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Analysts at Nordea note that the Turkish lira is under pressure, but emerging-market flows appear to be improving. Emerging-market bond inflows via ETFs have picked up, and Asian equity outflows have stopped.
The article links this to a flattening US yield curve and rising dollar.
Stabilizing emerging-market flows reduce pressure on currencies such as the Brazilian real and Mexican peso, which affects dollar prices for their exported farm goods. The impact on feed prices is limited for now.
exchangerates.org.ukFrançois AuréAug 9, 2018After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports lira pressure alongside a rising dollar and flattening US yield curve, which signals the contagion and dollar-strength backdrop weighing on EM currencies like the real, though it notes EM flows were improving.
