
India's government banned exports of non-basmati white rice in July and imposed a 20% duty on parboiled rice exports, plus a 40% tax on onion exports. It has also banned wheat exports since last year.
Retail inflation eased in August but upside risks remain.
India's rice export ban and duties remove a large share of world rice trade, supporting global rice prices while domestic inflation policy continues to restrict supply.
After 168 past bullish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.1%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.