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US third-quarter GDP grew at an annualised 4.9%, beating estimates, while US PCE inflation came in lower than expected at 2.4%. The ECB's latest meeting was uneventful, leaving the euro with an unfavourable rate differential.
A widening US growth gap supports the dollar and pressures dollar-priced commodities, though softer PCE data limits the move. The effect on feed prices is indirect and small.
think.ing.comFrancesco Pesole, Chris Turner, Frantisek TaborskyOct 27, 2023After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
