
ING expects the US dollar to outperform low-yielding G10 currencies, including the euro, yen and krona, in coming months. It forecasts a Federal Reserve hike later in 2019, while the ECB and Bank of Japan stay dovish.
A stronger dollar would pressure dollar-priced commodities and make US feed exports less competitive, which is bearish for feed prices if the view plays out.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.