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A Trase and ICV report from October 2, 2023 finds that 16% of soy production in the Amazon and Cerrado in 2020, about 3 million hectares, was on farms that did not comply with Brazil's Forest Code. The report warns that gaps in official data may make it hard for traders to prove compliance with the EUDR.
If Brazilian soy cannot be verified as compliant, EU buyers may cut purchases, which would weigh on Brazilian soy export demand and shift flows toward other origins.
trase.earthJames RichensOct 2, 2023After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
