
India's Department of Fertilizers reported November 2023 FOB/CFR prices: urea down 34.5% year on year to $402/mt, DAP down 19.9% to $595/mt, and MOP down 45.9% to $319/mt. Phosphoric acid, rock phosphate and ammonia also fell sharply over the same period.
Year-on-year declines across fertilizer benchmarks show lower input costs for feed and crop producers, though DAP remains relatively firm versus other nutrients.
After 42 past bearish report events, Urea moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.9% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 35 past bearish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.