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DTN's outlook says global phosphorus fertilizer demand should recover about 5% in 2023 to 46 million tonnes, with decent supply and a neutral price outlook into 2024. Key uncertainties are how much phosphorus China exports and how US phosphate export tariffs resolve.
A neutral price outlook with China export volumes as the swing factor means phosphate costs are unlikely to fall sharply in 2024 without more Chinese supply.
greatamericancrop.comDec 7, 2023After 38 past neutral report events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.6%), and +3.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
