
A severe Panama Canal drought is forcing tankers to take longer routes or bid for limited daily slots, rerouting fuel flows. U.S. diesel exports are shifting toward Europe, with about 45% of December exports headed there versus 21% last month.
Longer routes and canal bottlenecks raise tanker freight costs and tonne-miles, which can extend to grain and feed shipping costs from the US Gulf and Pacific Northwest.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 113 past bullish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.8% to +4.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.