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US headline CPI rose 0.3% month on month in January against 0.2% expected, and core rose 0.4% against 0.3%. The dollar index jumped to a three-month high as markets pared back bets on Fed rate cuts.
A stronger dollar makes US commodities more expensive for importers and tends to pressure grain, oilseed and meal futures. It also cuts the odds of an early Fed easing, which keeps financing costs high.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.