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The dollar made a mild comeback as expectations of Fed rate cuts faded, after the Beige Book found banking turmoil had little effect on activity or credit. Markets now price only two Fed cuts from the peak, with rates seen staying higher for longer.
A firmer dollar on higher-for-longer US rates generally pressures dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, though the move is modest.
convera.comHolly ThompsonApr 20, 2023After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
