
The US dollar rose for a second day on May 23, briefly touching a six-month high against the yen. Hawkish comments from Fed officials kept expectations for higher rates for longer, with markets pricing about a 30% chance of a June hike.
Expectations of higher US rates support the dollar, which lowers the dollar value of commodity exports and makes dollar-priced feed ingredients less attractive to importers. The effect is mainly a headwind for export-linked grain prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.