
The ringgit weakened to 4.0855 per dollar in morning trade on July 23, as markets raised the odds of a September US rate hike to 64.8% from 51.5% in early July. Oil prices were rising amid Middle East supply disruptions.
Malaysia's status as a net energy exporter cushioned the fall.
Higher odds of a Fed hike lift the dollar and tighten dollar funding for emerging markets. Energy-driven inflation also raises the cost of feed and fuel inputs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.