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Eurodollar futures priced roughly an 80% chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase by December 2022 after stronger-than-expected inflation data. The market tracks short-term US rate expectations over the next few years.
Expectations of higher US rates support the dollar and raise financing costs for commodity holders, which can weigh on dollar-denominated feed prices.
reuters.comMay 12, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
