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MUFG says the euro is gaining support from delayed ECB rate-cut expectations, easing European natural gas prices, and improving sentiment over China's economy after fresh stimulus. The bank expects Eurozone growth to pick up in the second half of 2024.
Lower European gas prices and firmer Chinese demand sentiment modestly support industrial and feed demand, though the effect on grain and oilseed prices is indirect.
teletrade.orgFeb 27, 2024After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
