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USDA's latest supply and demand report expects lower 2024 milk production, partly offset by higher cow inventories. The 2023 all-milk price estimate was lowered to $20.48/cwt, and the 2024 forecast was raised to $20.95/cwt.
A tighter 2024 milk supply and a higher price forecast support dairy margins and modestly lift demand for dairy-linked feed.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.