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Senate Agriculture Committee Ranking Member John Boozman cited USDA forecasts that net farm income will fall 27.1%, or $43.1 billion, in inflation-adjusted terms this year. He also cited USDA's forecast of lower prices for most major crops amid high input costs and export competition.
Boozman said farmers are concerned about inflation, interest rates, regulation and trade deficits.
USDA's forecast of lower crop prices and export competition is a bearish signal for grain and oilseed markets. The farm income decline also reflects pressure that could reduce planted area or input purchases over time.
agriculture.senate.govFeb 28, 2024After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
