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Senator Josh Hawley questioned whether CF Industries was price gouging by raising nitrogen prices during the Middle East conflict, and sent a 12-question letter. New Orleans urea has risen about 30pc since the war began, to $630/st fob.
Urea affordability versus corn is at its lowest since November 2021.
Political pressure on producers may not lower prices, but high urea costs relative to corn are encouraging farmers to shift acreage toward soybeans. That shift affects both grain and oilseed balances.
argusmedia.comCalder JettMar 25, 2024After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
